Scoring Drop-Out at a Microlender in Bolivia

Mark Schreiner

(2003) Savings and Development, Vol. 27, No. 2, pp. 101–118. 

This paper presents a scoring model that predicts the risk of drop-out for borrowers at a microfinance lender in Bolivia. Drop-out risk was greater for women, manufacturers, newer borrowers, and those with more arrears. Out-of-sample tests suggest that scoring may help microfinance lenders to detect segments of their clientele (and even specific current clients) who are at-risk of drop-out.

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